Thursday 26 May 2011

Friday 27th May selections

Watch Amigo, who runs in the 4.05 race at Newmarket

My one selection on Wednesday, Judge 'N Jury, ran an ok race to finish 4th in the end. travelled well in the early stages of the race and was right up with the pace, but faded tamely enough in the closing stages. Ginger Ted, who went on to win the race, was actually one of the few horses in the race who I could have made a case for, so I was surprised to see him win.

I didn't back anything on Thursday, as I never got a chance to study the cards in enough depth to make a solid selection, but I've been studying Friday's cards for a while now and I've picked out one horse I fancy to run a big race.

Newmarket 4.05 - Watch Amigo - 1pt e/w @ 16/1 (William Hill)
An open looking 17 runner handicap run over 7 furlongs, and I've decided to have a small each way bet on Walter Swinburn's runner Watch Amigo. Watch Amigo is a very lightly raced 5 year old, having only had 10 career starts. He didn't finish out of the top 4 in his first 7 races of his career, but signed off last season with 2 average enough efforts in, although they were in decent races. Watch Amigo returned from a 226 day absence off the track when coming 10th of 14 at Kempton 25 days ago. That was over an inadequate 8 furlongs, so tomorrow's drop back to 7 furlongs will suit. Watch Amigo has won 3 of his 10 starts, and came 2nd twice, all of these efforts came over 7 furlongs, which shows just how inadequate that 8 furlong trip last time out was. He was entitled to need the run regardless and should strip much fitter in preparation for this race tomorrow. The Swinburn yard is absolutely flying at the moment and are banging in the winners left, right and centre, and hopefully they'll get another one here. Watch Amigo is 5 pounds higher than his previous winning mark, but he has placed in a similar standard race as tomorrow's off the same mark as tomorrow before, and with his lightly raced profile and hopefully more natural improvement to come, he should run a very good race.

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