Monday, 2 May 2011

Ted Durcan isn't so bad afterall...


After questioning Mr. Durcan as a jockey in one of my first posts, he's gone on to provide me with 2 of the 3 winners so far, following Wannabe King's 16/1 win, he won today on Warlu Way, advised last night at 12/1. It was a welcome boost to the betting bank that had taken a few bad hits during the last few days.

Getcarter was my most fancied runner of the day, but that obviously meant he was going to be my worst performer on the day. He missed the kick coming out of the stalls, and never really got into the race. When he did try and produce a run, he got knocked around between horses and that totally ended any slim chance he may have had.

Prince Apollo ran a decent race to finish 3rd. He pulled hard early on which may have affected how much he had left in the tank when it came to the business end of the race.

Warlu Way was the undoubted success story of the day for myself. He was well backed before the off and travelled well throughout. He looked to have an awkward head carriage though and about 2 furlongs from home the best I thought I was going to get was the place money. However, a nice gap opened for Ted Durcan to attack and he duly obliged, and while he only won by a neck in the end, I feel he may have won with a little bit up it's sleeve and there could be another win or two to come, especially with it being so lightly raced and open to improvement.

+10.4 points for the day, which is always nice to see!

Number of bets: 16
Winners: 3
Placed: 1
Staked: 32 points
Returned: 59.9 points
Profit/Loss: +27.9 points

On to tomorrow's racing, and the eagerly anticipated Punchestown festival kicks off, with a decent card in store with plenty of high class animals on show. I've picked out one horse that looks overpriced in my opinion, and I'm expecting a big run from it tomorrow afternoon.

Punchestown 16.55 - Gimli's Rock - 2pts e/w @ 14/1 (Paddy Power)
Some may think it's a bit ridiculous to try and solve a 21 runner handicap hurdle, but I like to accept such a challenge! 2 lightly raced sorts, Wee Giant and Nearest The Pin are currently joint market leaders at 4/1, but I fancy Jessie Harrington's Gimli's Rock to run a big race and the 14/1 on offer is a very nice price. Gimli's Rock has won over this course and distance before, one of only 3 horses in the field to have done so. The ground conditions won't be a problem either so overall, conditions are perfect. He's got decent form in the book, having won a Grade 2 hurdle at Down Royal last November, which shows how much class he has. He was in flying form in 2010, recording 4 victories over jumps and one on the flat. I'm expecting more improvement to come this season as well. He ran behind Voler La Vadette just 8 days ago, and never really landed a blow. I'm expecting him to have come on from that race and he should be in tip top condition to run a big race tomorrow. It's my only bet of the day and I'm having a relatively big e/w punt, in the expectation of a big run.

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