Tuesday, 10 May 2011

A break never does any harm...

...well hopefully not anyway. A combination of last week's poor results and the pretty rubbish standard of racing that was on the last few days meant I took a break from backing anything. York's high quality Dante meeting starts tomorrow, and there's some good looking handicaps that I am going to try to solve.

From last Saturday's bets, Brae Hill ran another cracking race to claim 4th spot. A combination of a poor draw and a lack of luck in running meant it didn't finish in the first 3, as it was coming home like a train near the finish. There's definitely a big handicap win in him to come soon in my opinion. Remember Now ran a shockingly poor race, and was beaten a long way from home. It looked like there was something amiss with the horse, as AP virtually pulled it up half a mile from home. It managed to finish the course but it was well tailed off.

Onwards and upwards, hopefully!

York 1.30 - Treble Jig - 1pt e/w @ 14/1 (William Hill)
Ryan Moore and Sir Michael Stoute are looking to win this race for the 2nd year running, and they look to have a good chance of doing it with this lightly raced colt, Treble Jig. It has won 2 of it's 6 starts, including one win over tomorrow's 10 furlong trip. That win was also on good ground, which he will again face at York, so conditions should suit. Treble Jig ran no sort of race on it's seasonal reappearance, finishing 9th of 14 at Sandown, but it wasn't given a hard time by Ryan Moore that day. That trip over a mile probably didn't suit so the return to 10 furlongs should help it's cause. I'm hopeful that it will have come on for that run, and will show plenty of improvement. It's one of the least exposed runners in the field, and will surely strip fitter after it's previous run. The current favourite, Taqleed, is also lightly raced and open to lots of improvement, but he has to be taken on if the ground is good, and it may even be a doubt to run as it needs a bit of cut. Small e/w stakes in what looks to be a competitive field.


York 3.35 - Lovers Causeway - 1pt e/w @ 8/1 (Bet365)
Lovers Causeway has done most of it's racing on the All Weather, and with some success as well. He had never won on turf before until last weeks meeting at Chester, where he ran out a cosy winner of a class 4 handicap over 12 furlongs. He faces the same class of race tomorrow over the same trip, and he looks sure to run a decent race again. He has been raised 6 pounds by the handicapper for that win but I feel there's more to come from this gelding on the turf. Lovers Causeway looked to have a bit up it's sleeve last week when he won, and hopefully he shows that at York tomorrow. He's got a good draw in stall 2, which should be perfect for Joe Fanning to employ it's front running tactics once again. He looks unexposed on turf and with conditions to suit, I think it's capable of running another good race. I'll be having small e/w stakes again due to the competitive nature of the race.

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