Wednesday, 27 April 2011

Can't win 'em all...

...That's what they say, isn't it? I had a poor day, but not every day can be a profitable one in this game.

St Moritz ran a very good race to finish 2nd. He was one of the first off the bridle but much like his previous run, he found plenty for pressure, but had no chance with the eventual winner Side Glance, who you could call the winner about half a mile from home. He'll probably go on to bigger and better things now, with possible graded races on the agenda.

The Betchworth Kid put in an "meh" kind of performance. He was the first off the bridle, as I thought he would be. However, he was always staying on well for pressure but could only manage 4th. Much like the winner of the race above, the eventual winner of this race Asker Tau could have been called the winner a long way from home as George Baker sat motionless for most of the race.

Satwa Laird was the biggest disappointment of the day for me. I had quite a hefty e/w bet on him but he never really got into contention, maybe a lack of race fitness went against him. I'll be keeping an eye on him in future races though as I feel he has a race or two in him off his current mark.

I think it's about time I did a review of my horse raceing bets thus far, and check out how I'm doing overall. In my first post, I didn't list the stakes I had on each horse but they were 2 pts win on Archers Road, and 1 pt e/w on both Trovare and Spanish Duke.

Number of bets: 10
Winners: 2
Placed: 1
Staked: 19 points
Returned: 43.5 points
Profit/Loss: 24.5 points

That means a €245 profit if you take 1pt = €10. Not bad going at all.

I've picked out one bet for tomorrow, in what is generally a poor day's racing.

Brighton 6.05 - Kingswinford - 2pts win @ 11/2
Kingswinford looks to have a very good chance of taking care of this small field handicap at Brighton tomorrow evening. It's a class 5 handicap over 6f209y, which is the best part of 7 furlongs. The trip is right up Kingswinford's street, having won twice over this distance in the past. The good to firm ground should also suit. Kingswinford has won off a mark of 79 before, and is running off an attractive 75 tomorrow, with a further 3 pounds being taken off by the jockey, Richard Evans. He has won 1 of his last 10 races, and placed on 3 of the other 9, including on Kingswinford, who made an eyecatching comeback run from a 228 day break around a month ago when he was doing his best work towards the end of the race. Kingswinford will surely strip much fitter for that run and I expect a bold bid from him tomorrow. Small win stakes advised as the current 2nd favourite Mandhooma is a danger in my opinion.

Good luck for tomorrow and thanks for reading.

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